Drought conditions have not been improving much over the last month as much of the area is under a moderate to severe drought. So far in October, the Quad Cities has received 1.40" of precip, which is about 1.17" below the normal. Since September 1st we have only had 2.36" of rain (and melted snow) which is 3.30" below the average of 5.66"! However, for the year we are still in a surplus. We've seen 34.97" which is 2.15" above the average of 23.83" through October 27th.
Fortunately there is some good news in the rain department. We have an area of low pressure that will roll in here from the Plains states, giving us several round of rain. The first wave is set to arrive on Tuesday with a scattering of rain across the area. Amounts with this wave aren't expected to be too impressive. A warm front is due to arrive late Tuesday night & Wednesday, warming temps up to the 60s in many areas on Wednesday, and with ample Gulf of Mexico moisture we'll see a better chance of heavier rain. That lasts Wednesday night and at least the first half of Thursday. The numerical weather models we use are in a little disagreement as to how fast this system is going to move through the area. Here is what the WPC is predicting as far as rain
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| Weather Prediction Center's rainfall forecast thru Friday evening |
This particular output is showing anywhere from 1 inch north to 1.75" south. In general, it's looking like a good three quarters of an inch to inch and a half is possible, with locally higher amounts. Again, it all depends on the track the storm takes and how fast(slow) it moves. Either way you slice it, we've got much needed rain on the way for the Quad Cities!
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