Saturday, August 17, 2013

Warming Up & Staying Dry

As Andy mentioned in Friday's blog post, temperatures will be warming up close to 90° throughout next week.  It will be a gradual warm up, as temperatures warm up 2 or 3 degrees each day through Thursday.  We've been quite spoiled as of late with comfortable conditions and dry weather.  However, we are in need for some rain.  Is it in the forecast?  Not in the near term.

The graphic on the left is the GFS, one computer model meteorologists use to analyze forecasts, showing the chance for rain on Thursday (00Z Friday is 7PM Thursday, CDT).  The graphic on the right is the ECMWF, or European model.  The European is keeping the rain north, keeping the QCA dry:

 This is one of those cases where each computer run can tell a different story.  We generally get updated information every 6 hours with the GFS, and every 12 hours with the ECMWF.  Another model we use is a Canadian model, and it tries to bring rain in on Friday, which neither of the above have.  So there's definitely some fine tuning that has to be done.

In the meantime you can expect plenty of sunshine with some warmer and more humid air by next week.  Updated forecasts all the time at www.whbf.com/weather!

-Meteorologist Kyle Kiel

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