The Waiting Game

With heavy rain in the forecast for tonight it's now a bit of a waiting game for the Quad Cities!  A few evening t-showers were possible but we escaped that threat...later tonight we won't be so lucky!  Showers and t-storms are now forming well West of the Quad Cities and some of this wet weather will reach us after midnight.  Before that happens we could see new development in/around the Quad Cities.  This is possible anytime from 8pm - midnight...

Here's a plot of American model rainfall over the next 7 days, notice the spike early this week!

And another product to look at, from the Weather Prediction Center of the NWS.  This shows 24 hour rain totals from Mon evening through Tues evening.  Notice the heaviest totals just West of the Quad Cities (that would be a good thing fro the QC metro area.)

Most of our area is under a Flash Flood Watch and we will see heavy rain tonight.  It boils down to this - if we pick up another inch or inch and a half we'll see more flash flooding like we saw over the holiday weekend.  If the heaviest totals (4 or 5 inches) end up in the Quad Cities we'll be in big trouble, with major flash flooding and basement troubles all over the Quad Cities!